LocalPerks - Local Loyalty Coalition

Model: google/gemini-3-pro-preview
Status: Completed
Cost: $0.421
Tokens: 60,128
Started: 2026-01-05 21:23

05. User Research & Validation Plan

Strategy to validate the coalition model, mitigate "chicken-and-egg" risks, and prove unit economics before scaling.

1. Key Assumptions & Risk Assessment

LocalPerks is a two-sided marketplace (Merchants & Consumers). Validation must occur sequentially: Supply (Merchants) first, then Demand (Consumers).

Assumption Risk Level Validation Method Success Signal
Problem Assumptions (Merchant Focus)
Indies view "neighbor" businesses as allies for coalition, not direct competitors. CRITICAL 1:1 Interviews >70% willingness to honor points earned elsewhere
Merchants are dissatisfied with current single-store loyalty solutions (Square/Toast). HIGH Competitor Audit & Interviews Specific complaints about low redemption/engagement
Solution Assumptions (Consumer Focus)
Consumers will download a dedicated app for local rewards vs. using credit card points. CRITICAL Landing Page / Fake Door >15% conversion on "Join Waitlist" in target geo
Consumers understand the "Coalition" concept (Earn at Coffee Shop, Redeem at Bookstore). HIGH User Testing (Figma Prototype) Users successfully explain the concept back to researcher
Business Assumptions
Merchants will pay $29-59/mo subscription PLUS 5% redemption fees. HIGH Sales Pitch / LOI 5+ signed LOIs in pilot neighborhood
Settlement mechanics (monthly floats/payouts) are legally compliant without banking license. CRITICAL Legal Review Clean opinion letter from fintech counsel

2. Merchant Discovery Interview Guide

Target: Independent Owners (Coffee, Retail, Books) in Walkable Districts

Part A: The "Chain" Pain (15 min)

  • "Who is your biggest competitor right now? Is it the shop down the street, or Starbucks/Amazon?"
  • "How do you currently get customers to return? What tools do you use?"
  • "Walk me through your experience with [Current Tool]. What frustrates you about it?"
  • "Do you feel you have a shared customer base with [Neighboring Business X]? Do you ever collaborate?"

Part B: Solution & Economics (15 min)

  • "If I told you that you could acquire customers from [Neighbor Business] by accepting their points, how would you feel about that?"
  • "We are considering a model where you pay a 5% fee only when a customer redeems a reward. How does that compare to your acquisition costs?"
  • "What is the biggest risk for you in joining a coalition like this?"
The "Magic Wand" Question: "If you could wave a magic wand and steal one feature from the Starbucks/Amazon app for your store, what would it be?"

3. Validation Experiments

Exp A: The "Neighborhood" Landing Page

Goal: Validate Consumer Demand & Geo-Density.

Setup: Create landing pages for 3 specific neighborhoods (e.g., "LocalPerks Ballard"). Run geo-fenced FB/IG ads.

Value Prop: "One card. 20 local shops. Free rewards."

Success Metric:
>300 signups per neighborhood within 2 weeks with <$2.00 CPA.

Exp B: Concierge MVP (No Code)

Goal: Validate Settlement & Operations.

Setup: Recruit 5 businesses on one block. Use simple physical stamp cards with unique QR codes. Founder manually tabulates points in Excel daily and settles cash weekly.

Success Metric:
Businesses consistently honor the "cross-shop" redemptions without confusion or refusal.

4. Survey Strategy (Van Westendorp Pricing)

Targeting Business Owners to validate the $29/$59 price points.

"Consider a service that connects you to 30 other local businesses, allowing their customers to earn points they can spend with you, and vice versa. It includes a mobile app, marketing dashboard, and automated settlement."

  • At what monthly price would this service be so cheap that you would question its quality?
  • At what monthly price would this service be a bargain?
  • At what monthly price would this service begin to seem expensive, but you'd still consider it?
  • At what monthly price would this be too expensive to consider?

5. 8-Week Validation Timeline

Weeks 1-2
Problem Discovery & Legal Check
  • Conduct 20 Merchant Interviews (Focus: Cross-promotion fears).
  • Consult Fintech attorney regarding "Stored Value" laws in target state.
  • Identify 3 target "Pilot Neighborhoods."
Weeks 3-4
Demand Testing (Smoke Tests)
  • Launch "Support [Neighborhood]" consumer landing pages.
  • Run $500 ad spend per neighborhood.
  • Secure Letters of Intent (LOI) from 2 Business Associations.
Weeks 5-6
Concierge Pilot (The "Paper" Test)
  • Manual pilot with 5 friendly merchants.
  • Test "Earn here, Redeem there" mechanics manually.
  • Validate the 5% redemption fee model acceptance.
Weeks 7-8
Synthesis & Go/No-Go
  • Analyze Pilot Retention (Did businesses quit?).
  • Calculate Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) from ad tests.
  • Finalize MVP feature set based on pilot feedback.

🚦 Go / No-Go Decision Criteria

MERCHANT VALIDATION
5+ LOIs Signed
From single neighborhood
CONSUMER INTEREST
>500 Waitlist
In pilot geo area
LEGAL FEASIBILITY
Low Regulatory Risk
Confirmed via counsel